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Where Home Prices Increased Most – 2026 Study

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Home values can reflect cost of living trends in an area, giving hopeful homebuyers as well as existing homeowners a pulse on the momentum in their local market. Between 2025 and 2026, the typical home value in large U.S. cities actually declined by 1.04%, with values dropping in 70% of cities. But the full range of changes from market to market ran the gamut from -9.1% to +5.01%, putting both hopeful buyers and homeowners in starkly different environments across the nation.

With this in mind, SmartAsset ranked 100 of the largest U.S. cities based on the one-year change in the typical local home value. Changes over the last five years and from pre-pandemic times are also reported.

Key Findings

  • These midwestern cities contend with San Francisco, NYC for increasing home values. Toledo, OH ranked number one for highest home value increase at 5.6% year over year, with a resulting typical home value of $126,270. Lincoln, NE ranked second with a 4.1% increase putting homes at a typical $285,359. San Francisco and New York City – among some of the priciest housing markets nationwide at a typical value of $1.3 million and $800k respectively – ranked third and fourth for price growth at 4.0% each.
  • Typical homes cost over $1.5 million in Irvine, CA. Of large U.S. cities, Irvine has the most expensive homes this year at a typical value of $1,541,925. Despite a -0.62% change in values year over year, Irvine maintains the largest five-year value increase at 70.1%. San Jose, CA, which has the second highest home value in 2026 at $1,435,993, experienced a larger year-over-year decline of 2.68%.
  • Home values fall more than 9% in this Bay Area city. Oakland, CA experienced the steepest decline in home values at -9.1% in just one year, dropping from $770,708 to $700,829. It is also the only large city where home values declined since 2019 (-6.7%). Over the past year, home values in St. Petersburg, FL (-7.5%); Naples, FL (-6.4%); Austin, TX (-6.0%); and Plano, TX (-5.1%) follow Oakland with some of the steepest declines.
  • Since pre-pandemic, home values increased most in Knoxville, TN. Over the last seven years, the typical home value in Knoxville increased 94.0%, nearly doubling from $187,490 to $363,688 today. On average, home values in big cities have increased 48.6% over this time period.

Top 10 Cities Where Home Values Increased Most

  1. Toledo, OH
  • One year change: 5.60%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $126,270
  • Typical home value in 2025: $119,577
  • Five year change: 41.75%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 79.48%
  1. Lincoln, NE
  • One year change: 4.11%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $285,359
  • Typical home value in 2025: $274,091
  • Five year change: 34.15%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 53.44%
  1. San Francisco, CA
  • One year change: 4.04%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $1,299,230
  • Typical home value in 2025: $1,248,791
  • Five year change: -1.46%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 2.25%
  1. New York, NY
  • One year change: 3.97%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $812,534
  • Typical home value in 2025: $781,476
  • Five year change: 10.29%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 14.53%
  1. Milwaukee, WI
  • One year change: 3.69%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $216,278
  • Typical home value in 2025: $208,590
  • Five year change: 45.08%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 83.14%
  1. Buffalo, NY
  • One year change: 3.65%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $232,351
  • Typical home value in 2025: $224,159
  • Five year change: 42.51%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 82.79%
  1. Lexington, KY
  • One year change: 3.12%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $322,743
  • Typical home value in 2025: $312,974
  • Five year change: 41.15%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 64.61%
  1. Tulsa, OK
  • One year change: 2.86%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $212,757
  • Typical home value in 2025: $206,846
  • Five year change: 37.10%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 72.06%
  1. Louisville, KY
  • One year change: 2.50%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $259,139
  • Typical home value in 2025: $252,809
  • Five year change: 28.50%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 49.20%
  1. Virginia Beach, VA
  • One year change: 2.50%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $418,508
  • Typical home value in 2025: $408,317
  • Five year change: 30.83%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 50.24%

Top 10 Cities Where Home Values Decreased Most

  1. Oakland, CA
  • One year change: -9.07%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $700,829
  • Typical home value in 2025: $770,708
  • Five year change: -15.52%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: -6.65%
  1. Saint Petersburg, FL
  • One year change: -7.47%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $345,243
  • Typical home value in 2025: $373,112
  • Five year change: 28.01%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 56.47%
  1. Naples, FL
  • One year change: -6.35%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $548,175
  • Typical home value in 2025: $585,350
  • Five year change: 43.98%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 55.48%
  1. Austin, TX
  • One year change: -5.93%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $500,627
  • Typical home value in 2025: $532,202
  • Five year change: 6.88%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 32.41%
  1. Plano, TX
  • One year change: -5.10%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $501,564
  • Typical home value in 2025: $528,510
  • Five year change: 32.43%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 44.13%
  1. Aurora, CO
  • One year change: -4.43%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $458,953
  • Typical home value in 2025: $480,216
  • Five year change: 15.40%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 31.61%
  1. Denver, CO
  • One year change: -4.32%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $530,920
  • Typical home value in 2025: $554,868
  • Five year change: 10.98%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 24.67%
  1. Atlanta, GA
  • One year change: -3.95%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $381,549
  • Typical home value in 2025: $397,252
  • Five year change: 11.15%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 22.57%
  1. Stockton, CA
  • One year change: -3.95%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $426,138
  • Typical home value in 2025: $443,665
  • Five year change: 17.14%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 39.30%
  1. Tampa, FL
  • One year change: -3.93%
  • Typical home value in 2026: $369,079
  • Typical home value in 2025: $384,167
  • Five year change: 36.35%
  • Change since pre-pandemic: 65.02%

Data and Methodology

This study examined home sale data for 100 of the largest metro areas in the U.S. to determine one-year and five-year price growth. Data for February, 2026, 2025 and 2021 comes from Zillow’s Home Value Index for single-family homes, condos and co-ops.

Questions about this study? Contact us at press@smartasset.com

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